Most Accurate Weather Forecast from Green Flag to Checkered
Daytona International Speedway
2012 Daytona 500 Race Postponed: We Race Monday Night
22 months ago
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Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
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Around 1:30pm on Monday the heaviest and steadiest of the rain began to exit Daytona International Speedway. This is great because the rest of the afternoon into the evening will feature mostly dry conditions with the exception of just a few isolated or scattered showers developing near and around the track the rest of the day. This should give NASCAR and track officials plenty of time to get the track dried and ready for the 7 p.m. EST green flag for the rain delayed Daytona 500.
OFFICAL WXMAN FORECAST TONIGHT:
Tonight will be mostly dry With the excpetion of an isolated shower or two through the late afternoon and evening. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s to near 70. Although there is just the slightest chance of a delay caused by weather NASCAR should be able to get all 200 laps completed.
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2012 Daytona 500 Race Postponed: Monday Weather Forecast
02 months ago
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| MON FEB 27 |
MON NIGHT FEB 27 |
TUE FEB 28 |
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| Showers and possible storms. | Lingering Evenign Showers, mostly cloudy | Mix of Sunshine and clouds |
| High 75 | 6 to 8 PM Temps: 68 | High: 76 |
Everyone was expecting the 54th running of the Daytona 500 to be historic because of Danica Patrick’s debut in NASCAR’s top series the Sprint Cup, but instead it was historic because it was the first Daytona 500 in 53 years to be postponed because of rain.
After hours of waiting and watching rain drops, an attempt to dry the track during a break, the rain moved back in and NASCAR made the decision to postpone the race for Monday at noon ET.
ISN’T MONDAY’S FORECAST JUST AS BAD?
Yes and Monday’s forecast appears worse than Sunday’s. Rain showers and possible thunderstorms can be expected during the scheduled start (12 p.m. EST) on Monday. The rain will continue through the early afternoon before breaking up, diminishing and pushing east during the early evening hours.
On the remote chance that the race is postponed another day, Tuesday at noon would be the next logical choice. There is still a lot of uncertainty of what would happen if Mother Nature forced NASCAR’s hand for another day. Next weekend they are in Phoenix and it has been said that it take around two days for the NASCAR haulers to get from Charlotte to Phoenix.
OFFICAL WXMAN FORECAST:
Rain and a few isolated storms likely Monday morning, through midday and into the afternoon, with temperatures in the low to mid 70s. Rain showers begin to diminish and break up as drier air works in late afternoon early evening. Just a few lingering isolated showers are possible Monday evening otherwise mostly cloudy and drier temps in the upper 60s.
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2012 Daytona 500 Race Day Weather Forecast: Will There Be A Break?
02 months ago
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Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
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Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| SUN FEB 26
2 PM ET |
SUN FEB 26
4 PM ET |
SUN FEB 26
6 PM ET |
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| Cloudy skies and Showers | Cloudy, Breezy, Showers | Cloudy, Breezy, Showers |
| Temp: 63 | Temp: 63 | Temp: 62 |
I don’t mind changing my forecast if it means we get to see the 54th running of the Daytona 500 on its scheduled day. The race won’t start on time, because as of 12:30 p.m. EST it was still raining/sprinkles over Daytona International Speedway. The jet driers were out on the track and it could take as long as three hours to dry the track. Scattered showers around Daytona International Speedway will also slow the drying process.
WILL WE RACE TODAY?
That is a great question and honestly we are at the mercy of the weather. A lot of things have to go right for us to see NASCAR racing this afternoon and evening and only one thing has to go wrong to prevent it.
Above is a Radar image of Florida at around 12:15 p.m. EST. The highlighted area is rain out over the Gulf of Mexico. Around 11 a.m. EST it appeared the rain may start to be moving north but over the last hour it still moving more east to northeast than northeast. That still concerns me.
The other concern that prevents us from getting the Daytona 500 ran today will be all the moisture and the threat of developing scattered showers across the area. The track could get dry and it would take only one shower to star the whole drying process all over again. As I have said many times before, it’s not the rain you see but the rain you don’t that causes the biggest problems.
WHAT IS THE LIKELIHOOD WE RUN TODAY/TONIGHT?
It all depends on where the rain over the Gulf of Mexico goes. If it goes north our chances increase to about 50 percent if it stay east and doesn’t move north much then it drop to less than 10 percent.
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
Daytona International Speedway NASCAR Race Day Weather Forecast: How Will The Rain Impact The 500
02 months ago
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Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| SUN FEB 26 11 AM ET |
SUN FEB 26 1 PM ET |
SUN FEB 26 3 PM ET |
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| Cloudy skies and cool, shower possible | Cloudy, breezy, cool, shower | Cloudy with rain showers, breezy and cooler. |
| Temp: 63 | Temp: 64 | Temp: 62 |
In the three years that I have been forecasting the weather for NASCAR there hasn’t been a more important and complicated forecast. This is the “Great American” race, NASCAR’s biggest event of the season. I am conflicted with two personalities, the NASCAR fan and the meteorologist.
The fan in me wants nothing more than to see great racing today (Sunday) and like many of you doesn’t want to hear the word “rain” for the Daytona 500. The meteorologist in me has to be professionally honest and call it like I see it. I only have my accuracy and I do this because my followers on Twitter and those that follow me expect nothing but the best whether they like the weather or not.
This brings us to the forecast for the Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway. If you have any invested interest in the Daytona 500 you have already checked various weather forecasts from Weather.com, Accuweather.com, the National Weather Service and here. All of us have been saying pretty much the same thing, rain likely (depending on the forecast) for today.
I’ve built my reputation on being up front and honest to all of the followers and NASCAR fans who depend on my forecast. I don’t let the fan in me interfere and end up “Wish-casting.” “Wish-casting” a forecast you wish will happen rather than the one that is most likely to happen.
Now that we are seeing rain on radar throughout Florida, we can answer the following questions: When will the rain arrive? Will rain hit the track? And, what is the likelihood that the Great American race is delayed or postponed?
WHEN WILL THE RAIN ARRIVE? As of 8 a.m. EST, rain is falling along the western coast of Florida. The rain will slowly spread east through the morning into the afternoon. The air is dry at the surface and for the rain to make it all the way to the surface, it has to start to saturate all the levels from top to bottom. This will take a couple of hours, and just because rain may be seen on radar won’t always mean it is reaching the surface. Sadly, I believe rain starts to impact Daytona International Speedway between 11 a.m. and 1 p.m. EST.
WHERE WILL IT RAIN? I expect the rain to fall along and north of the I-4 corridor that runs from Tampa up to Daytona. Daytona International Speedway will be right along the southern extent of the rain. Once the rain arrives later this morning/early afternoon it will last a couple of hours.
WILL IT BE A WASHOUT? As I stated above, it will rain today and rain will fall at the track. NASCAR will do everything it can and wait as long as necessary (see Atlanta’s fall race last season) to get the race started and completed on Sunday. I’m stopping myself just short of calling today’s 54th running of the Daytona 500 a washout, but the likelihood that this race gets moved to Sunday night or Monday is around 70 percent.
In light of what is going today, it is interesting to note that in the 53-year history of the Great American Race, the Daytona 500 has never been run on a Monday. Four of the 53 races (1965, 1966, 2003, 2009) have been called early because of either rain or darkness. And 39 races out of 53 (73.6 percent) have been run on days with no rain recorded (I want to thank William Schmitz, of the Southeast Regional Climate Center for the NASCAR weather stats).
WHAT DOES MONDAY LOOK LIKE? A lot of people have already been asking the following questions: “Daytona has lights; how late will the rain last?” and “What does Monday’s forecast look like?” Once the rain arrives, it is expected to be steady into the afternoon and evening. There are scenarios that the rain could start to break up later this evening and night and make the Daytona 500 a night race. That has a 50 percent likelihood.
If it does get postponed until Monday, showers are expected through Monday morning and early afternoon. The best chance would be later Monday evening. I don’t know what NASCAR will do if they are faced with a long rain delay later this afternoon. If they decide to wait as late as they can Sunday night, I have a feeling they will be waiting a long time.
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Weather: Rain Remains A Threat Sunday
02 months ago
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| SAT FEB 25 |
SUN FEB 26 |
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| Mostly cloudy, early morning showers, cooler. | Mostly cloudy, possible showers. Threat increasing into the afternoon and evening |
| High: 65 | High: 67 Low: 50 |
Clouds will linger after the cold front on Saturday, it will be gray through the morning but some clearing will take place in the afternoon. The main concern still remains the chance of rain Sunday with a disturbance coming out of the Gulf of Mexico.
I posted an image above from one of the computer models. All the forecast models have been consistent, bringing most of the moisture into northern Florida. As you can see where the “X” is located this is very close to Daytona International Speedway. These kinds of forecasts can go either way. There is not enough confidence to say, “Yes this is a washout” and honestly I don’t believe it is. I am just concerned that showers will move in towards the middle or end of the race and possibly shorten it.
Unlike some systems where rain moves through and it is over, once rain arrives with scenarios like these it stays around for some time and is slow to exit.
SATURDAY:
10:30 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Mostly cloudy – temp: 59
1:15 p.m ET
Nationwide Race – Partly sunny – temp: 62
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Daytona 500 – Mostly cloudy chc. of showers – temp: 66
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Weather: Growing Concerns over Sunday’s Forecast
02 months ago
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| FRI FEB 24 |
SAT FEB 25 |
SUN FEB 26 |
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| Sun and clouds, breezy & warm. | Partly sunny, cooler & breezy | Clouds, limited sun, increasing chance of showers afternoon & evening |
| High: 86 | High: 65 Low: 56 |
High: 68 Low: 48 |
There are no weather concerns for Friday or Saturday. The weather story for Friday are very warm temperatures and strong gusty winds. Highs will reach the mid 80s and winds out of the southwest could gust up to thirty miles per hour.
Cold front sweeps across Florida Friday night and early Saturday morning. Its passing will be quick but not before it puts down rain across the area overnight. Rain and front are gone by Saturday morning but it will be noticeably cooler as highs only reach the mid 60s.
The main focus for this forecast has turned to Sunday afternoon. What once looked like a dry forecast just two days ago has become increasingly wet and unsettled for Sunday afternoon and evening. Moisture will spread in from the Gulf of Mexico as the same cold front that moved through Friday night begins to come back and become a warm front. This boundary will creep across north Florida bringing with it an increase threat of rain Sunday afternoon and evening. Rain that forms along a warm front usually is more wide spread and last longer than showers associated with a quick moving cold front.
Based on the current information, I am still optimistic for Sunday but keep in mind I’m cautiously optimistic. The forecast over the last thirty-six hour has grown increasingly pessimistic and wet for Sunday. I can’t say, “we won’t see rain on Sunday,” but I also can’t say, “The Daytona 500 will be a wash.” There’s just not enough information available to make that call. Again, I remain cautiously optimistic and if you plan on going the the Great American Race on Sunday, I’d prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
FRIDAY:
11 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 78
12:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 81
2 p.m. ET
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 84
4 p.m. ET
Truck Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 82
7:30 p.m. ET
Truck Race – Partly cloudy – temp: 72
SATURDAY:
10:30 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 60
1:15 p.m ET
Nationwide Race – Partly sunny – temp: 62
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Daytona 500 – Sun and clouds, isolated threat of a shower – temp: 65
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Weather Forecast: Chance of Showers Increase for Sunday
02 months ago
by Brian Neudorff
in 2012 NASCAR Season, Camping World Truck Series, Daytona 500, Daytona International Speedway, Drive4COPD 300, Gatorade Duel, NASCAR Weather, Nationwide Series, NextEra Energy Resources 250, Race Forecast, Race Tracks, Race Weather, Race Weekend, Races, Speedweek, Sprint Cup Series
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| THU FEB 23 |
FRI FEB 24 |
SAT FEB 25 |
SUN FEB 26 |
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| Partly sunny, isolated shower | Sun and clouds | Partly sunny | Clouds, some sun, isolated threat of a shower. Looks mostly dry |
| High: 82 | High: 84 Low: 65 |
High: 67 Low: 58 |
High: 71 Low: 48 |
With the very warm air in place a few isolated showers have started to pop up this afternoon around Daytona International Speedway. The threat is low but showers have come awfully close to the track earlier today. The forecast is mostly dry for this afternoon 150’s but there could be a few drops.
The forecast became a little more complicated by the possibility of a few light rain showers on Sunday. A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico will spread clouds and more moisture over northern Florida Sunday afternoon. The forecast models are beginning to show more of a threat of rain Sunday afternoon. At this time I am just mentioning a low threat of an isolated shower around. In this scenario most of the time and area looks to remain dry but as we have seen it only takes one rain shower to cause delays.
The rest of the forecast remains good for Friday and Saturday for the Camping World Truck Race and the Nationwide race on Saturday. Temperatures will remain warm for Friday as highs get into mid 80s with cooler temperatures on Saturday with highs near 70.
THURSDAY:
2 p.m. ET
Gatorade Duel 150′s – Partly sunny, isolated shower – temp: 84
FRIDAY:
11 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 78
12:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 81
2 p.m. ET
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 84
4 p.m. ET
Truck Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 82
7:30 p.m. ET
Truck Race – Partly cloudy – temp: 72
SATURDAY:
10:30 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 61
1:15 p.m ET
Nationwide Race – Partly sunny – temp: 65
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Daytona 500 – Sun and clouds, isolated threat of a shower – temp: 70
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Weather Forecast: Mostly Dry, Few Rain Chances
02 months ago
by Brian Neudorff
in 2012 NASCAR Season, Camping World Truck Series, Daytona 500, Daytona International Speedway, Drive4COPD 300, Gatorade Duel, NASCAR Weather, Nationwide Series, NextEra Energy Resources 250, Race Forecast, Race Tracks, Race Weather, Race Weekend, Races, Speedweek, Sprint Cup Series
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| WED FEB 20 |
THU FEB 21 |
FRI FEB 22 |
SAT FEB 23 |
SUN FEB 24 |
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| Mostly cloudy, scattered showers | Partly sunny | Partly sunny chc. of an isolated shower | Mostly sunny | Mostly sunny |
| High: 77 | High: 82 Low: 64 |
High: 84 Low: 65 |
High: 67 Low: 58 |
High: 71 Low: 48 |
WEDNESDAY:
12 p.m – 1:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Patchy clouds – temp: 77
2:30 p.m – 4 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice (Final before 150′s) – Mostly Cloudy, scattered shower – temp: 78
THURSDAY:
9 a.m. ET
Nationwide Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 69
10:15 a.m. ET
Nationwide Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 74
12:15 p.m. ET
Truck Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 79
2 p.m. ET
Gatorade Duel 150′s – Partly sunny – temp: 80
FRIDAY:
11 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 79
12:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 83
2 p.m. ET
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 84
4 p.m. ET
Truck Qualifying – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 83
7:30 p.m. ET
Truck Race – Partly cloudy, scattered chance of showers – temp: 72
SATURDAY:
10:30 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 64
1:15 p.m ET
Nationwide Race – Mostly sunny – temp: 67
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Daytona 500 – Mostly sunny – temp: 70
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Speed Week Weather Forecast
02 months ago
by Brian Neudorff
in 2012 NASCAR Season, Camping World Truck Series, Daytona 500, Daytona International Speedway, Drive4COPD 300, Gatorade Duel, NASCAR Weather, Nationwide Series, NextEra Energy Resources 250, Race Forecast, Race Tracks, Race Weather, Race Weekend, Races, Speedweek, Sprint Cup Series
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| TUE FEB 19 |
WED FEB 20 |
THU FEB 21 |
FRI FEB 22 |
SAT FEB 23 |
SUN FEB 24 |
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| Sunshine and clouds | Mostly sunny, chance of PM showers. | Partly sunny | Partly sunny chc. of an isolated shower | Mostly sunny | Mostly sunny |
| High: 74 | High: 76 Low: 54 |
High: 80 Low: 62 |
High: 84 Low: 65 |
High: 67 Low: 58 |
High: 71 Low: 48 |
TUESDAY:
NO ON TRACK ACTIVITIES
Sunny Skies– HIGH: 74
WEDNESDAY:
12 p.m – 1:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 74
2:30 p.m – 4 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice (Final before 150′s) – Mostly sunny – temp: 75
THURSDAY:
9 a.m. ET
Nationwide Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 69
10:15 a.m. ET
Nationwide Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 74
12:15 p.m. ET
Truck Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 79
2 p.m. ET
Gatorade Duel 150′s – Partly sunny – temp: 80
FRIDAY:
11 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 77
12:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 80
2 p.m. ET
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 81
4 p.m. ET
Truck Qualifying – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 78
7:30 p.m. ET
Truck Race – Partly cloudy – temp: 70
SATURDAY:
10:30 a.m. ET
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 65
1:15 p.m ET
Nationwide Race – Mostly sunny – temp: 67
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Daytona 500 – Mostly sunny – temp: 70
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates through the week.
NASCAR Daytona International Speedway Weather Forecast: Windy, Threat of Rain for Qualifying
02 months ago
Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL:
Click here for Current Weather Conditions – Look at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar
Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com
Daytona, FL
| SUN FEB 19 |
MON FEB 20 |
TUE FEB 21 |
WED FEB 22 |
THU FEB 23 |
FRI FEB 24 |
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| Quite cloudy, Windy (gusts near 30) possible shower | Sunny and cooler. | Mix of sun and clouds | Partly sunny, chc. of scattered showers | Partly sunny, chc. of scattered showers | Mostly cloudy, possible shower. |
| High: 81 | High: 65 Low: 48 |
High: 74 Low: 49 |
High: 78 Low: 56 |
High: 80 Low: 66 |
High: 79 Low: 57 |
Showers are possible today at Daytona International Speedway. Best time will be from about mid morning into the early afternoon. They will be widely scattered so I expect rain to be a threat especially during qualifying. Will rain definitely wash out qualifying? I can’t say that, especially when talking about scattered showers and possible thunderstorms but the possibility of rain is better than what had on Friday.
The other concern for drivers and teams will be the wind. With a cold front working across Florida the winds will increase. Sustained winds will be from 10 to 20 mph, and gusting to near 30 mph. The winds will start out of the south-southwest but shift to more west-southwest around midday.
It will be a very busy day for me and my family but I will try to update as often as I can.
SUNDAY:
1 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Qualifying – Possible Showers, scattered thunderstorms – temp: 78
MONDAY:
NO ON TRACK ACTIVITIES
Sunny Skies– HIGH: 65
TUESDAY:
NO ON TRACK ACTIVITIES
Sunny Skies– HIGH: 74
WEDNESDAY:
12 p.m – 1:30 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 76
2:30 p.m – 4 p.m. ET
Sprint Cup Practice (Final before 150′s) – Partly sunny, scattered chance of showers – temp: 78
Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates through the week.
