Atlanta Motor Speedway

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Atlanta Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: New Data and It Isn’t What We Want to See

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
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Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN Sept 5

Sunshine & clouds Variably cloudy, chc. of showers and storms late in the day. Showers and storms possible
High: 92
High: 87
Low: 65
Race Temp: 88

FORECAST DISCUSSION SATURDAY NOON EDT:

New forecast model data is in and it doesn’t look good. Here is the information I am looking at for 8pm EDT Sunday evening. Atlanta Motor Speedway is Click for bigger image.

They say a picture speaks a thousand words and the two above images scream a bunch of words not appropriate for this blog. The time is for 8pm EDT and as you can see south of Atlanta there is a lot of color. That means the models are coming together more and showing a scenario that NASCAR fans don’t want to see.

I don’t want a wash out and I wish I had better news to share. This is not looking good and if the race were to get washed out and moved to Monday, the forecast then doesn’t look much better. I will continue to keep you updated.

SATURDAY:
1:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 88
3:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 91
5:00 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 92
7:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Race – Patchy clouds – temp: 85

SUNDAY:
7:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Showers and storms becoming likely through the evening– temp: 83

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

Atlanta Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: I Hate Forecasts Like These

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN Sept 5

Sunshine & clouds Variably cloudy, chc. of showers and storms late in the day. Showers and storms possible
High: 92
High: 87
Low: 65
Race Temp: 88

FORECAST DISCUSSION SATURDAY 6:00 AM EDT:

Weather for Atlanta over the next 24 to 36 hours actually looks pretty good. Saturday looks great as high pressure remains in control despite having tropical storm Lee along the central Gulf Coast. Highs on Saturday should be in the low 90s with mostly to partly sunny skies.

Sunday is the day of great concern and a lot of questions. Moisture associated with tropical storm Lee will interact with a cold front moving into northern Georgia late in the day Sunday and into the evening. This sets the stage for possible shower and storm development. Although my official forecast is calling for shower and storm development, this isn’t a scenario like Watkins Glen where I felt like there was a slam dunk of rain for the race. There are a couple of forecast models that remain slow on bringing the rain to Atlanta Motor Speedway, but still bring the rain late Sunday night.

It’s these forecast I have to separate the NASCAR fan from the meteorologist. I would love nothing else than to say, “The rain is not a worry, we are going to have great weather for the race.” Sadly I would be “wish-casting” and lying to all the other NASCAR fans if I wrote that forecast. I know forecasting rain doesn’t make me a very popular person but I don’t do this to be popular. I do this because I love weather, I love the sport of NASCAR and I want to tell everyone how I see it and give the most accurate forecast I can. Trust me, when I have to forecast rain for a race, I hope I am wrong.

My official forecast for Sunday is that rain is too close not to be a threat Sunday night. Rain needs to be mentioned and I think the likelihood of getting rain for the Sprint Cup race is higher than any of us would like.  I wish I could pinpoint rain arrival to the hour and tell you how long it would last and how long any possible windows will be, unfortunately this is not that kind of forecast, and honestly most forecast are not that precise.  I also can’t tell any fan what they should do if they have tickets or are thinking about getting tickets for the race. If it were me I’d probably go, take the risk with some of the information I am seeing from some of the computer models. I would also know that I am making a gamble and that if it rained Sunday night delaying, shortening or postponing the race all together, I wouldn’t be surprised because it is there in the forecast.

My plan is to update as often as I can between now and Sunday night. We probably won’t know exactly what the rain will be doing until sometime Sunday afternoon. Stay tuned and I will update as often as I can here and on Twitter. Have a great Labor Day weekend everyone.

SATURDAY:
8:30 a.m EDT
Nationwide Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 72
9:45 a.m EDT
Nationwide Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 76
1:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Partly sunny – temp: 88
3:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 91
5:00 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Qualifying – Partly sunny – temp: 92
7:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Race – Patchy clouds – temp: 85

SUNDAY:
7:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Showers and storms becoming likely through the evening– temp: 83

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

Atlanta Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Rain Becoming More Likely Sunday

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Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
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Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN Sept 5

Sunny Skies Sunny skies Variably cloudy, chance of storms. Showers and storms likely.
High: 93
High: 91
Low: 64
High: 87
Low: 65
Race Temp: 88

FORECAST DISCUSSION FRIDAY 11:00 AM EDT:

The forecasts for Friday and Saturday are great for the Camping World Truck and Nationwide series, but Sunday night for the Sprint Cup race is becoming more in doubt. I am not saying it will get washed out but the threat of rain continues to increase as tropical depression thirteen continues to develop into tropical storm Lee along the Louisiana coast. To make this an even more complicated forecast is we have a cold front arriving from the north that is expected to be in north Georgia by Sunday evening. The moisture associated with soon-to-be Lee interacting with the cold front is where I think we will see our showers and storms Sunday night.

My gut tells me that rain will impact Sunday nights race in some way, either shortening it or causing delays or even the possibility of postponing it. To make matters worst, Labor Day Monday is an even wetter forecast than Sunday night. On Twitter, a lot of people ask me, “What’s the likelihood of NASCAR moving the start of the race up to Sunday afternoon?” I honestly don’t know and with the exception of moving the time up a couple of minutes I don’t recall a race being moved up by several hours.  Sunday afternoon, still has a chance of showers and storms but rain becomes more likely after 8pm Sunday night.

FRIDAY:
12 p.m EDT
Truck Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 84
5 p.m EDT
Truck Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 92
6 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 90
8 p.m EDT
Truck Race – Mostly clear – temp: 85

SATURDAY:
8:30 a.m EDT
Nationwide Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 70
9:45 a.m EDT
Nationwide Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 77
1:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 87
3:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 91
5:00 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 91
7:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Race – Patchy clouds – temp: 85

SUNDAY:
7:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Showers and storms becoming likely after 8pm – temp: 83

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

storm_93_spaghetti_20010901

Atlanta Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Rain Threat Increases Sunday with Soon to be Lee

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN Sept 5

Sunny Skies Sunny skies Variably cloudy, chance of storms. Mostly cloudy, chance of storms.
High: 93
Low: 62
High: 90
Low: 64
High: 87
Low: 65
Race Temp: 88

FORECAST DISCUSSION THURSDAY 12:00 PM EDT:

What looked like a dry forecast for Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway has quickly changed thanks to the development of proto-Lee forming in the Gulf of Mexico. Thunderstorm activity Thursday afternoon continues to look impressive and pressure around this system continues to drop. Possible that if the develop for this continue we could have a tropical depression or tropical storm Lee could form in 24 to 36 hours.

The various computer we use to forecast these system has no idea what to do with this system. The National Hurricane Center is expected to send a recon plane into the system later this afternoon. Once that data is collected and put into the models then we should have a better idea of where and what this storm is doing later tonight. It appears some of the main models we use in weather forecasting are starting to settling on an early idea of this storm making landfall somewhere in either southwest Louisiana or southeast Texas Sunday or Monday…

How does this impact the race in Atlanta this weekend? Tough call at this point, there are too items we are watching. One being proto-Lee in the Gulf the second is a cold front dropping out of Tennessee interacting with the moisture coming out of the Gulf. At this point I can’t tell you with any grain of certainty that it will be dry or it will be wet but now I am airing on the side of caution. Too many players on the field to ignore rain and storms Sunday into Sunday night. A lot will reveal itself as proto-Lee becomes better organized. Also Monday does not look any better it actually looks wetter than Sunday, but I want to caution everyone that this may become a day by day kind of forecast with frequent changes. Stay tuned.

FRIDAY:
10:30 a.m EDT
Truck Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 79
12 p.m EDT
Truck Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 84
5 p.m EDT
Truck Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 91
6 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 90
8 p.m EDT
Truck Race – Mostly clear – temp: 85

SATURDAY:
8:30 a.m EDT
Nationwide Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 70
9:45 a.m EDT
Nationwide Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 77
1:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Final Practice – Mostly sunny – temp: 87
3:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 91
5:00 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Qualifying – Mostly sunny – temp: 90
7:30 p.m EDT
Nationwide Race – Patchy clouds – temp: 85

SUNDAY:
7:30 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Mostly cloudy, chance of a shower or storm – temp: 83

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

MostlySunnyAMS

Atlanta Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Watching a Disturbance in the Gulf

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

THU Sept 2 FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5

Sunny Skie Sunny Skies Sunny skies Variably cloudy, chance of storms.
High: 89
Low: 65
High: 91
Low: 62
High: 90
Low: 64
High: 88
Low: 65

FORECAST DISCUSSION Wednesday 12:00 PM EDT:

Over the next few days and into the start of the weekend, high pressure is going to dominate the forecast for Atlanta Motor Speedway. Temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90 and lots of sunshine.

There currently is a weak disturbance in the Gulf. The National Hurricane center currently gives this system a 10% chance of becoming anything tropical and organized but it could as it heads into the Gulf by the end of the week. Problem here is the computer models diverge in location as we go into the weekend. One model takes this system over towards the western Gulf and Texas, another model brings this system in over the Florida panhandle then through central Georgia and over the the Atlantic coast. Hoping that that scenario is wrong as that could potentially cause problems for the Sunday night race. We will monitor.

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

NASCAR Weather Forecast Atlanta: Perfect Race Weekend

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

My Weather Blog on Hurricane Earl

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

SAT PM Sept 4 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN PM Sept 5

Sunny skies Clear skies Sunny skies Clear Skies
High: 83
Race Temp: 75 High: 85
Race Temp: 73

FORECAST DISCUSSION Friday 3:45 PM EDT:

No problems here weather-wise have a great race weekend and holiday weekend. You can find my detailed forecast for the weekend over at SBNation.com

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

NASCAR Weather Forecast Atlanta: No Earl, No Rain, No Problems

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

My Weather Blog on Hurricane Earl

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5 SUN PM Sept 5

Partly sunny isolated t’storm Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies Clear Skies
High: 93
Low: 61
High: 84
Low: 59
High: 85
Low: 52
Temp: 60

FORECAST DISCUSSION Thursday 3:45 PM EDT:

First of all, no Earl will not have any affect on weather in Atlanta. By Saturday morning Earl will be over Nova Scotia. The only slim chance of rain comes Friday afternoon and even that is very low. It will be hot before a cold front moves through for the weekend. This is another picture perfect forecast for Atlanta who in the spring also had some outstanding weather for their NASCAR weekend. Maybe NASCAR needs to schedule more races there. At least they will be dry.

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

NASCAR Weather Forecast Atlanta: Great Looking Weekend

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

My Weather Blog on Hurricane Earl

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

THU Sept 2 FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5

Mostly sunny skies Partly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies
High: 91
Low: 60
High: 92
Low: 61
High: 84
Low: 59
High: 87
Low: 54

FORECAST DISCUSSION Wednesday 4:30 PM EDT:

No changes with the forecast except adding some clouds to Friday. All on track actives are on Saturday or Sunday so I see nothing but great weather fore the weekend.

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

Atlanta Motor Speedway

NASCAR Weather Forecast Atlanta: No Fault Forecast

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Click here for the Latest Forecast

My Weather Blog on Hurricane Earl

Conditions in Atlanta, GA:
Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Atlanta, GA

WED Sept 1 THU Sept 2 FRI Sept 3 SAT Sept 4 SUN Sept 5

Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies Mostly sunny skies
High: 92
Low: 60
High: 93
Low: 61
High: 93
Low: 62
High: 85
Low: 63
High: 87
Low: 54

FORECAST DISCUSSION Tuesday 2:30 PM EDT:

With the exception of a weak cool front that crosses Georgia Friday night into Saturday there doesn’t seem to be much to talk about. That front will be dry, there may be a few more clouds during the day Friday and behind the front, cooler less humid air will arrive for the weekend.

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.

WX-Man Weighs In: My Take on the Carl Edwards/ Brad Keselowski Incident

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Above is the video of Carl Edwards crashing Brad Keselowski that has the NASCAR and all of the sports world talking. This wreck was intentionally  and blatantly caused by Carl Edwards. I will be totally up front with all of you reading my blog. I am not a big fan of either of these drivers. I don’t have a strong connection either way. Yes, Carl has been around longer and there have been times when his temper and his reactions have made me ask, “What was this guy thinking?” The one that stands out and made me lose some respect for him was when he came out of the pits (not sure what Nationwide race it was) and hit Dale Jr. almost taking off his hand had Jr. not quickly brought it in. There have been numerous times, especially last season where Carl could have been accused of the same kind of aggressive driving he accused Keselowski of doing.

Looking back at the crashes and accidents involving both Brad and Carl 2 of the 3 (Taladega & the 2 at Atlanta) were what I call racing accidents. There was no true fault, just racing in my opinion. Taladega you had 2 drivers going for the win, Carl blocked once tried to block again but Keselowski had gotten inside of him and sent Carl flying. I don’t believe Brad was purposely trying to crash Carl just trying to win. Then on lap 41 at Sunday’s Kobalt Tools 500 in Atlanta the first contact was again a racing accident. Keselowski had the inside lane Carl was in the middle. Carl tried to squeeze down in front of  Brad but there was no room they make contact and Carl is sent up the track into Logano. Sure Brad maybe could have checked up maybe given him more room, I don’t really know but someone’s spotter failed there and then a wreck occurred.

After the 1st wreck here is what Carl had to say, ““I know Brad has made his career on being super-aggressive. We both had a part in it and it’s not his fault, but it’s just a little too aggressive overall, I think, for that early in the race and caused us to wreck” Apparently while Carl waited for his crew to fix his car for over 100 laps he changed his mind and felt Brad was TOTALLY at fault and wanted payback.

If you’re a NASCAR fan and on Twitter like I am, you can’t escape this, everyone has an opinion. Of course the real passionate ones are those who are either Edwards fans or Keselowski fans or they are passionately against. Here are to NASCAR writers who cover the races, I personally think they make very valid points but have a completely different take on what should happen to Carl Edwards.

From SBNation.com you have Jeff Gluck who writes, “NASCAR Should Not (And Cannot) Punish Carl Edwards” his reasoning is because Edwards’ intention “was not to send the car flying.” Although I agree Edwards didn’t want to see Brad fly and flip in the air, he DID want to wreck him and his actions caused Keselowski to go flying. I’m a father of three boys ages 8 to 7 (I have a set of twins) I know from experience that 90% of the time they get in trouble their intentions are not to get in trouble and typically are harmless. Unfortunately there have been times that what they were doing could have gotten them or someone else hurt even though they weren’t trying to hurt or harm someone. As the father, I had to punish them because there are consequences for ones actions whether it was an accident or on purpose.

I’m also in the TV news business as a meteorologist. I’ve have seen numerous stories about a kid or someone else waving a gun with the intention of scaring and unfortunately the gun goes off and someone is shot. In these situations, although the intention was harmless, harm was caused and again someone had to pay a price for that accident.

Jeff also cites the “Have at it, boys” that NASCAR officials implemented at the beginning of the season:

“We are putting things back in the drivers’ hands,” said NASCAR chairman Brian France. “We’re going to open it up. We want to see what you want to see. We want to see drivers mixing it up. This is a contact sport and you’re going to see more contact. It’s going to make very good racing even better.”

Well when you read that you think, hey Carl was just doing what NASCAR wanted him to do. Go out there and police themselves but if you read more from this Jan 22, 2010 article from ESPN.com Terry Blount, “NASCAR gives drivers the green light” you will find the fine print so to speak:

“It doesn’t mean these guys have a get-out-of-jail-free card,” said NASCAR president Mike Helton. “But there’s an old saying in NASCAR: ‘If you ain’t rubbin’, you ain’t racin’.’ I think that’s what the NASCAR fans bought into and what they expect.

“Our role is to deliver that correctly while maintaining law and order. But we are the last people that want to over-regulate the sport.”

I know Jeff Gluck, I read a lot of what he writes and most of the time I agree with his opinions when he shares them, but this time I don’t. I like Jeff but I respectfully disagree with him on this issue.
I am more in line with what ESPN.com Terry Blount who wrote Monday, “NASCAR needs to drop the hammer on Edwards” he writes:

If NASCAR fluffs off Sunday’s incident and refuses to punish Carl Edwards severely, someone somewhere could die at a future event.

A harsh and uncomfortable thought, but entirely possible if Edwards’ payback moment on Brad Keselowski goes unchecked.

NASCAR’s judgment is coming in a day or two. Suspending Edwards for one race is the right thing to do.

Yes, I know all the wrong reasons why they won’t do it: hypocrisy; Brad had it coming; you can’t take a big-name driver out of the championship with a suspension.

Terry then goes on and breaks down all the “Wrong Reasons” I think everyone should read both sides before attacking anyone on their personal opinion.

Then of course there is the fun and always interesting “What if” game. Trust me I’ve been playing this myself. I have said numerous times on Twitter today that if Keselowski’s car never left the track and only slid bounced off the wall and into the infield this would not be as big of a story as it is today. In fact some people, well mainly those who don’t like Keselowski, would be applauding Carl for taking action into his own hands.

Then you have the car itself, All the flaps that were meant to keep the car from going airborne opened when Brad slid and started to go backwards unfortunately the large wing on the back of the car gives to much lift and that is why the car went airborne. Fortunately NASCAR is going back to the spoiler and let’s hope this fixes the the flying flipping cars.

Then back to Carl. All though he didn’t intend for Brad to go airborne he knew it was a possibility. He himself in an incident last year at Taladega involving Keselowski and Edwards at the end of the race where getting hit in a similar fashion sent him up up and away and he hit the catch fence seriously hurting one young fan who was there for her first ever NASCAR race.

When NASCAR said, “Have at it, boys” back in January I bet they didn’t expect to have to defend it or fine tune it this early on in the season. Although NASCAR is getting lots and lots of publicity on this crash I still think in the end no matter what their final decision is on Carl Edwards there will be a lot of NASCAR fans who will be upset.

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