Nationwide Series

DARLINGTON NASCAR WEATHER FORECAST

2012 Darlington Raceway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Taming of the Shrew

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FORECAST UPDATE THURSDAY 2 a.m. EDT (5/9/2012):

This weekend, NASCAR heads to the track that is “Too Tough To Tame” Darlington Raceway. Over the last few weeks it seems like Mother Nature has been a “shrew” that has needed some taming. Looks like mother nature will be on her best behavior in Darlington, SC.

High pressure will control the weather across the Carolinas. Expect sunshine over the weekend and comfortable temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions at Darlington SC:
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TALLADEGA NASCAR WEATHER FORECAST

2012 Talladega Superspeedway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Hot With Isolated Storms

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FORECAST UPDATE SATURDAY 2:30 a.m. EDT (5/5/2012):

It will be hot and sticky this weekend at Talladega Superspeedway for the NASCAR Nationwide series race on Saturday and the Sprint Cup race on Sunday. Hoping the action on the track is hotter than the temperatures in the stands. Each afternoon highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90. It will feel like the 90s with the high dew points making it humid and muggy.

With all the moisture around each afternoon there’s the risk for a few isolated or scattered thunderstorms. The likelihood of any activity hitting the track is low but if one were to form and move over Talladega Superspeedway it probably wouldn’t last more than 30 to 45 minutes. The biggest concern this weekend for fans will be the heat and summer-like steam.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Talladega, AL:
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TALLADEGA NASCAR WEATHER FORECAST

2012 Talladega Superspeedway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Mostly Dry, Isolated Storms Possible

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FORECAST UPDATE FRIDAY 1 a.m. EDT (5/4/2012):

Because of rain on Thursday at Talladega Superspeeday, NASCAR Nationwide Series qualifying has been canceled. Instead of qualifying later today there will be a Nationwide practice. The rest of the forecast looks to be on track for the remainder of the weekend.

The main challenge this NASCAR weekend will be the development and placement of isolated storms across Alabama. It will look and feel more like summer with humid conditions and highs in the upper 80s to near 90. Weak disturbance will move across the state this weekend and with plenty of heat and moisture in the atmosphere some storms could fire up in the afternoon. Although the severe threat is low isolated storms that do form could be strong.

I don’t anticipate any more major rain delays or cancellations like we saw Thursday but a storm or two over the next three days is possible and can’t be ruled out this weekend. If you are going to Talladega, prepare for the heat and steam of summer and make sure you have plenty of water. Also keep an eye to the sky and be weather alert for developing storms.

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Conditions in Talladega, AL:
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TALLADEGA NASCAR WEATHER FORECAST

2012 Talladega Superspeedway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Hot With Isolated Storms

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FORECAST UPDATE THURSDAY 1 a.m. EDT (5/3/2012):

With the exception of today, most of this weekend’s NASCAR weather forecast at Talladega Superspeedway is dry but very hot. The NASCAR Nationwide Series is scheduled to practice later this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon and could cancel or reschedule these practices.

Friday through the rest of the weekend the general weather forecast is the same. It will be hot as high temperatures get into the upper 80s and even 90s for the weekend. It will also be very muggy with dew points into the upper 60s and near 70. With plenty of moisture in the atmosphere an isolated shower or storm can’t be ruled out. The likelihood of a storm causing problems for NASCAR this weekend is very low but still needs to be mentioned.

If you are going to Talladega this weekend, be prepared to sweat. Have plenty of water, take lots of breaks to rest and stay cool.

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Conditions in Talladega, AL:
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Richmond Poss Rain

2012 Richmond International Raceway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Saturday Night Showers?

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FORECAST UPDATE FRIDAY 2 a.m. EDT (4/27/2012):

Weather will be quiet for Friday’s NASCAR actitivies at Richmond International Raceway. It is Saturday and Saturday night when things get tricky. Cold front stalls south in the Carolinas on Friday. This will allow for high pressure to move in and provide mostly sunny skies to the region. It should also remain dry for Friday night’s Nationwide Series race.

Saturday’s forecast becomes more problematic as the same front that stalls across the Carolinas moves back north as a warm front then stalls. The challenge and question becomes where does this front stall.  It appears that it will be close enough that showers will be a threat at anytime during the day and evening on Saturday. It doesn’t appear that it will be a large wave of rain but more the threat of scattered hit or miss type showers. I don’t think it will be a rain out, at least I hope not but showers and radar will need to be watched Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Richmond, VA:
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Richmond, VA

FRI
APR 27
SAT
APR 28
SAT NIGHT
APR 28
Sun and clouds. Clouds, some sunshine, chance of scattered showers Cloudy, Chance of a shower or two
WIND: NW 5-15 mph WIND: NNW 10-15 mph WIND: East 3-8 mph
High: 68 High: 64
Low: 47
Temp: 66

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2012 Richmond International Raceway NASCAR Weather Forecast: Chance Of Rain Saturday NIght

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FORECAST UPDATE THURSDAY 6 a.m. EDT (4/26/2012):

Another NASCAR weekend and another challenging forecast. Warm front lifts to the north during the day Thursday. This will help to spread in showers and potentially thunderstorms during the afternoon. There could even be some breaks in the clouds for some sunshine that would spark storm formation in the afternoon. Off and on times of rain are possible today.

The same front that brought warm temperatures will drop south as a cold front Thursday night with more showers into early Friday morning. As the front pushes south it looks like Friday and Friday night could be relatively quiet. We may have fair and dry conditions on Friday night for the Nationwide race.

Saturday is when things get tricky. It’s timing different impulses that will ride along the stalled front to the south. Also if the front meanders a little more to the north showers and maybe a few storms could be possible Saturday and Saturday night. This will have to be watched closely because any rain Saturday night for the Sprint Cup race will be dependent on where that front is when if any of the forecasted energy arrives that rides along that stalled boundary.

So right now I am going to keep a chance of showers in the forecast. I will keep you updated over the next few days and into the weekend.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Richmond, VA:
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Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Richmond, VA

THU
APR 26
FRI
APR 27
SAT
APR 28
SAT NIGHT
APR 28
Clouds, some sun, chance of showers possible showers/storms Sun and clouds. Clouds, some sunshine, chance of p.m. showers Chance of shower possible storms
WIND: SW 10-20 mph WIND: NW 5-15 mph WIND: ESE 3-8 mph WIND: NE 3-8 mph
High: 80 High: 69
Low: 48
High: 66
Low: 47
 Temp: 66

Special offer for NASCAR WXMAN readers:

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Severe Weather Threat Texas Saturday Night

2012 Texas Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Storm Threat Is Low Saturday Night

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FORECAST UPDATE FRIDAY 3 AM EDT (4/13/2012):

The above image is from the National Weather Service Office in Dallas/Fort Worth. Their thinking has been inline with what I’ve been saying and thinking for Saturday night’s Sprint Cup race at Texas Motor Speedway:

A vigorous upper level system will continue to trudge across the Rockies through the end of the week…before slowly exiting over the Central and Southern Plains over the weekend. A moderate risk of severe storms will occur across central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas by Saturday evening. The tail-end of the forcing will work along an approaching dryline near northwestern North Texas to provide the best lift for scattered severe storms containing large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornadoes, and frequent lightning late evening and overnight Saturday. How much the cap weakens and lifts and how far east will play a role on timing and placement of where storms sustain. Activity will become more in the form of a squall line toward Sunday morning as a low level jet feeds into the system overnight with heavy rainfall to between in excess of 2 to 3 inches in spots becoming a threat on Sunday, along with a continued severe weather threat depending if the system slows down or not.

Like the NWS I think the worst of the weather takes place to the north and northwest of Dallas-Fort Worth Saturday night leaving just a chance of isolated showers and storms. Because of the proximity to the higher risk of severe weather some of the stray storms that form could be strong to potentiall severe Saturday night but currently the odds are in NASCAR’s favor to get Saturday night’s race completed.

For Friday night’s Nationwide race, it will be breezy, variably cloudy and temperatures in the mid 70s.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Fort Worth, TX:

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Fort Worth, TX

FRI
APR 13
SAT
APR 14
SAT NIGHT
APR 14
Mix of sunshine and clouds, windy. Clouds and sunshine, slight chance of isoalted t’storms. Slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm, dry time as well.
WIND: South 10-20 G 30 mph WIND: South 15-25 G 30 mph WIND: SW 10-20 mph
High: 80 High: 82
Low: 67
Temp: 77

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2012 Texas Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Potential Severe Weather Threat

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FORECAST UPDATE TUESDAY 3 AM EDT (4/12/2012):

I think the risk for a severe weather outbreak Saturday night during the NASCAR Sprint Cup race is low. Most of this forecast Friday night and Saturday looks mostly dry. Yes, all the reports you are seeing from other outlets are correct, there is a severe weather threat this weekend for north Texas, including Dallas/ Fort Worth. From what I am seeing, it appears that threat is later in the weekend going into Sunday and not Saturday.

DISCLAIMER: Just because I think the worst and the main severe threat is on Sunday rather than Saturday that doesn’t mean there isn’t a threat of storms and that some could be severe on Saturday. I am fully planning on watching the radar Saturday afternoon for any develop that could threaten the start or any part of the race at Texas Motor Speedway.

There is a threat of severe storms in Texas on Saturday and at this point it appears to be more west and northwest of Forth Worth extending into Oklahoma. The threat is close enough that storms could stray into the area and would need to be monitored.

For Friday and the Nationwide race, I expect a mostly dry with just a very small chance of an isolated storm.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Fort Worth, TX:

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Fort Worth, TX

THU
APR 12
FRI
APR 13
SAT
APR 14
SAT NIGHT
APR 14
Partly sunny Partly Sunny, chance of an isolated shower Clouds and sunshine, slight chance of isoalted PM t’storms. Slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm, dry time as well.
WIND: SSE 10-20 G 25 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph
High: 79 High: 80
Low: 64
High: 82
Low: 67
 Temp: 77

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2012 Texas Motor Speedway Weather Forecast: Storm Development A Concern This Weekend

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FORECAST UPDATE TUESDAY 3 PM EDT (4/10/2012):

Before I could even look at this weekend’s NASCAR weather forecast at Texas Motor Speedway my Twitter stream was getting a lot of questions about the potential for severe weather this weekend around Dallas/Fort Worth. I agree with preliminary reports that this weekend could feature the potential for severe storms, the biggest challenge and question is the timing of when this activity could form and arrive.

Most of the time this week will feature mostly dry conditions with highs ranging from the mid to upper 70s with 80s by the weekend. By Friday we will be watching and trying to time the arrival of a few disturbances that could cause shower and storm development Friday, Saturday and Saturday night. A lot of this we won’t have specific information on until areas of showers and storms begin to form or we start to see development of storms. I am going to mention the chance of showers and storms around Texas Motor Speedway Friday and Saturday but there are some indications that this time frame is more dry than wet.

I am concerned anytime there is a threat of severe weather especially when it corrisponds with an outdoor sporting event. The threat is there for Northern and Eastern Texas sometime this weekend but timing of its development is still unknown. There is still a lot of time for things to change between now and then.

If I was going this weekend to Texas Motor Speedway I wouldn’t let the current forecast keep me home. I feel this will be an ever changing forecast with frequent updates. I will also have a Rockingham

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecasts over at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Fort Worth, TX:
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Fort Worth, TX

THU
APR 12
FRI
APR 13
SAT
APR 14
SAT NIGHT
APR 14
Partly sunny Partly Sunny, slight chance of late afternoon evening storms Clouds and sunshine, slight chance of isoalted PM t’storms. Slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm, dry time as well.
WIND: SSE 10-15 G 20 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph WIND: South 10-20 G 25 mph
High: 75
Low: 58
High: 78
Low: 65
High: 83
Low: 67
 Temp: 77

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Auot-Club-Speedway

2012 Auto Club Speedway Weather Forecast: Rain Could Arrive Later Than Originally Thought

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FORECAST UPDATE SATURDAY 3 AM EDT (3/24/2012):

Small changes have been made to the weather forecast for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Auto Club Speedway. Over the last twenty-four hours the tendacy of most of the weather forecasts has been to slow the arrival of the Pacific storm and associated rain. As of Friday night, the models showed the rain arrival to be between 2pm EDT (the earliest) and 5pm EDT (the latest).

You may be asking can NASCAR get all 400 miles in during that potential window? If they start the race a little earlier than 3pm EDT and because the race is shorter at 400 miles (average two hours and forty-five minutes) they could easily get past halfway and possibly completed if the rain were to holds off even longer. All of this is dependent on the rain arriving two to three hours after the start of the race.

Timing of precipitation can make or break a forecast. It’s one of the biggest challenges forecasters and meteorologists face. It’s even more challenging when you have four or five different sources giving you four or five different times. My current probability that we see racing on Sunday is 40% to 50%. That’s much better than what I was thinking on Thursday but it all hinges on when the rain actually arrives. If it moves in during the earliest time mentioned above (3pm EDT) then we would be looking at Monday racing and I haven’t taken that scenario off the table just yet either.

If the race were to be postponed to Monday, the forecast looks good around midday and the afternoon as the rain quickly exit during the morning.

FORECAST BOTTOM LINE
It is going to rain Sunday in Fontana, California the question is when does the rain arrive. We have two scenarios: Number one, best case scenario, rain arrives two to three hours after the start of the race and we get to see racing, with the race ending after halfway or possibly the full 400 miles. Current odds are 40% to 50%.

Number two, worst case scenario, rain arrives as the race is about to begin and the race is postponed or rescheduled until Monday. Current odds, 50% to 60%.

Because of the difficult and ever changing nature of this forecast please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest Weather updates through the week.

Look for more of my NASCAR weather forecastsover at SBNation.com.

Conditions in Fontana, CA:
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Complete Broadcast Schedule From NASCAR.com

Fontana, CA

SAT
MAR 24
SUN
MAR 25
MON
MAR 26

Partly to mostly sunny Cloudy, rain arrives towards midday Early AM Rain, Clearing Out & Partly Sunny
High: 67 High: 65
Low: 47
High: 61
Low: 49

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  • About NASCAR WX-MAN


    Follow Me: on Twitter

    I'm a certified broadcast meteorologist who has a strong passion for weather and also a love for NASCAR, here I can combined the two and provide accurate weather forecasts for NASCAR fans going to the race or to those just wanting to know what will happen as they prepare to watch it on TV. My forecast can be found here, on Twitter, Facebook and also through SBNation.com
    My focus is on the three main touring series for NASCAR: Camping World Truck Series, Nationwide Series and Sprint Cup Series. If you are looking for a more specific location for a home track, please contact me and for a small fee I can easily prepare a weekend forecast for you.
    I am the chief Meteorologist for KMVT-TV in Twin Falls, ID. I have 10 years of broadcasting and forecasting experience. If you want to know more please visit my resume resume.

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