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FORECAST DISCUSSION TUESDAY 3 AM EDT:
All signs point to us having a NASCAR race today. The remnants of tropical storm Lee and all that moisture continue to push north into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, as very dry and cool air begins to move in behind the departing system. From what I am seeing, I feel very strong that NASCAR has a very good shot of getting the AdvoCare 500 started and completed. If someone asked me, “What are the odds we get this race started on time Tuesday Morning?” I would tell them I think we have a better than 75% chance of getting the race started at 11 am EDT. This is not good news for all the fans who were praying for some morning rain so they could watch the race later in the afternoon or possibly in the evening.  Even Denny Hamlin (@DennyHamlin on Twitter) voiced his opinion about having a later start time for today’s race, “Anyone else wish @NASCAR would schedule the race for tues night?”

For those wanting to hold out hope for a delay and a later race start, there could be a few scattered to isolated showers around during the morning. Like we saw Sunday night it only takes one single shower to undo hours of drying. The trouble with predicting scattered to isolated showers is you never know when or where they will form. Overall I think the dry air wins out and we get this race started on time and finished.

WHAT IF THERE IS A DELAY?
In the small likelihood that we see a delay Tuesday morning the forecast for the afternoon and evening looks mostly dry. There could be a pop up shower or storm during that time too but the risk is very small. The other good news for track drying is that winds will be gusty and breezy out of the southwest. Sustained winds look to be between 10 and 20 mph with gust to near 25 mph.

I am very certain the AdvoCare 500 get in today, and I am becoming a believer that this race starts on time. If you are like many fans heading back to work or school, make sure you have your DVR’s set for ESPN tomorrow morning.

TUESDAY:
8 a.m EDT
Few scattered to isolated showers or storms, windy with gusts of 25 mph, mostly cloudy and cool: 68
11 a.m EDT
Start of Sprint Cup Race – Mostly cloudy, possible shower or storm, looks mainly dry still windy and cool. Southwest wind 10-20 mph gust of 25 – temp: 70
1 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Clouds, some sunshine few lingering scattered showers – temp: 73

Please follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN for the latest Weather updates during the race.